Taveras is one of those who could steal 50 bases even batting ninth, and even without a very good hitting season. Tied for second at 26 are Tommy Edman, Ronald Acua and Cedric Mullins. He didnt do a ton in his major league debut (76 wRC+) after clubbing 23 homers in Double- and Triple-A for Minnesota and Cincinnati. He smashed 28 HR and stole 47 bases in 513 plate appearances across High- and Double-A but did so with a 31% K rate and just an 8% BB rate. Ten games at first base. That would mean about a 325-PA over/under. Im going to project him as a near full-timer. When I dont understand, I am inhibited, but a good glove and improvement vs. lefties give him a floor. His fly ball lean leaves his susceptible to the long ball (1.5 HR/9 in 299 MiLB IP), which he counters with exemplary strikeout stuff (31% K, 17% SwStr) and great control (5%). You may be opposed to picking a pitcher first because pitchers are riskier than hitters, and you want security in the pain-in-the-ass first round. $1, Willi Castro, MIN Ks down to 21% but it didnt help. Bats left, steals some bases. He's the most likely first-round pick other than Julio Rodriguez to be kept for something less, and he's well worth it, being nearly as strong as Aaron Judge but also five years younger. His draft price has dropped over the winter, likely due to that RosterResource placement as well as the re-signing of Drew Smyly, though itll head right back up if hes confirmed in the fifth starter role before Opening Day. $6, Josh Lowe, TB Clearly not ready with 33.3% Ks, but a big half-year at Durham, as in .315/.402/.556 with 25 SBs. Only at a price in AL leagues. Status. A bump in velo to 93-96 mph has given his heater some more viability for the upper levels, though neither his slider nor his recently scrapped curveball have developed into a consistent breaking pitch just yet. The Os were happy to get him with the fifth overall pick in 2021 and probably plan to bring him up this year, so hes a spring watch for sure, and I mean late in the spring. All of them should be in the majors for a substantial portion of the 2023 season. There is a fair chance that the hype train gets rolling here Bae has a shot at Roto Rookie of the Year. Pos. He's lived up to his high ranking on this list year after year and should continue to do so even as he enters his 30s, making across-the-board contributions at one of the most critical positions to fill early. Only a sore elbow could slow Mead down last year. The numbers game could push his debut to the summer, as all three of the other fifth starter contenders are already on the 40-man and have more Triple-A experience than Pfaadt. Very likely to get an early call-up. $3, Robbie Grossman, TEX Lifetime .790 OPS vs. lefties probably dictates his role. It wasn't long ago you would have been delighted to have Acuna slotted in as your first-rounder for the next decade, so don't let a down year, with obvious explanations for it, steer you away. PFA, Justyn Henry-Malloy, DET The prize in the Joe Jimenez deal, he made it to Triple-A in his second pro season, with a minor league line of .285/.404/.450. $21, Kris Bryant, COL No real reason he should be the 26th outfielder off the board and not the 15th. Unless youre in an OBP league, Id say no. Extreme fly-ball hitter, so it is possible that Moore surfs himself a streak, even a long one, but that is far from bettable. The Angels have a bit more depth this year, so they wont need to rush Silseth. Blackmon could probably still hit .300 poking the ball around Coors Field, but at last look he was still muscling up, and if it continues I fear his rising Ks and falling hard hits will only get worse. $3, Stone Garrett, WAS Lots of power and some speed, but 52% fly balls and 32% Ks tell us that his BA is headed for a fall, possibly off a cliff. These 25 guys (plus a few Honorable Mentions) arent draftable in every format, but I wanted to cast a wide net so that the list has utility across many formats and can be revisited when those who dont break camp on a big league roster are called up. Worth a buck for sure if he makes the team, but that is unclear. Gavin Sheets, CHW Rigidly platooned so far, with 89% of his PAs against righties. But any slippage and no, and at age 29 we shouldnt expect development. Batting. He has the same support issues as Waldichuk, but if he locks in a spot out of spring, theres 30+ start upside. David Peralta, LAD Respectable if injury-plagued career, but when the OPS against righties falls below .800, I figure hell have trouble sustaining a platoon gig. First of all, if there were a starting pitcher who was a clear cut above the rest, he should be the No. $18, Andrew Vaughn, CHW There is no mean to regress to here, not when a hitter cuts his Ks to 17.3% while increasing his hard hits to a Grade A 48.4% at the same time, in his second season at age 24. The 2023 fantasy baseball season is rapidly approaching, and if you're looking for a particularly enticing challenge in the new year, consider a dynasty league! Another team duo, the no. Nootbaar is passive, and normally I frown when a hitter swings at only 56% of the strikes he sees, but then I saw his slash when he swung at the first pitch: .165/.195/.241. Im betting on a subpar season, even a return to utility status. 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings: Top picks by position, 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings: Best sleepers, 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings: Top breakouts, sleepers. Has some power and some speed and just 10 Ks in 59 PAs in the majors. Jung returned from his shoulder injury with a free-swinging approach that saw him turn up the power with a .274 ISO and 9 HR in 135 MiLB plate appearances plus another 5 HR and .214 in his 102 plate appearance debut at the cost of his plate approach. Granting that his endless injuries are flukes, still he chases, hes not a hard hits guy, he doesnt hit a lot of fly balls and his career HR/FB is 7.3%. His Sprint Speed is still 95th%. Its always hard to know what the Rays will do with a young arm, though, so I couldnt put him in the main list right now. Does it use ESPN's standard settings, or more traditional or even deeper roster settings? Probably gets one more chance but there is no visible path to better things. The thing is, last year was a bad year for him. Transfer Talk: Newcastle star Bruno Guimaraes on Real Madrid's radar, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Everything you need to know about F1's 2023 season, F1 season preview: Who's hot and who's not. $3, Rob Refsnyder, BOS The headline read Red Sox, Refsnyder Avoid Arbitration. Besides slow news day I wondered why pursue Rob Refsnyder, then I saw the deal was for $1.2M and realized that he is going to be their fourth outfielder. $13. He brings a similar risk/reward profile to Harris, but at less of a discount, and I do wonder if his poor plate discipline will hold him back in points leagues. Cade Cavalli | RHP, WAS | 456 ADP A shoulder injury limited his debut to just one uninspired outing instead of the month and a half he was slated to get. Top Dynasty Keepers: Players 75-51 March 6, 2022| 2022 Fantasy Baseball, Draft Rankings, Fantasy Baseball Keepers, Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Keeper Leagues| 6 Comments Women's Champ Week predictions: Which teams will win the auto bids in all 32 conferences? Whether you've been in a league for 10 years or are just about to draft your dynasty start-up, everyone loves rankings. Bad year and now 33, so please be careful. Valera puts a hurt on the baseball but 26% Ks at Double-A will not play in Cleveland. My general rule on first-year international hitters is to start with them as average hitters ($11) and adjust a few bucks up or down, individually as more becomes known. Youre guaranteed to get one of them, and you get the earlier pick coming back. Dylan Moore, SEA Also qualifies at shortstop and 12 games at second base. Worry more that his strikeouts soared to 35.2%. Reserve A, James Outman, LAD Not regarded as a prospect because he turns 26 in May, except perhaps by the Dodgers, who added him to the 40-man. 6-keys: media/fantasynews/mlb/reg/free/stories, at Everything indicates and keeps confirming that hes a good major league hitter. Coming off his best season since he won NL MVP in 2015, the 29-year-old appears to have smoothed out his rough edges and become a full-fledged Fantasy force. Andrew McCutchen, PIT He will never lose his game awareness, and since hes running as fast as ever, maybe we should expect a SB spike. $11. Reserve B, JJ Bleday, OAK The Fish have so much trouble developing hitters, probably because Fish Field is such a tough place to hit. Matt Vierling, DET Probably gets a chance to play every day the Tigers are anxious to show everyone that they too look at Baseball Savant, where Vierling flashes deep red in Sprint Speed and HH%. You might throw him out early-ish in an auction and see if they will overpay. One imagines that the Sox would very much like to see far fewer PAs. My brain refuses to accept Bryce Elder as a righty, too, and I even watched him regularly at Texas during his college days. $10. Before counting one dollar, he received admiration and honor, which are worth more than money to many, many human beings. PFA, Victor Reyes, CHW On a minor league deal, a contact hitter without the contact. But fewer still meant 23%, which combined with 46.5% fly balls argue for a .235 BA in 2023. As a well-above average hitter, I think its safe to bid him as a little better than average. Log in here. Tremendous talent but given his struggles at the upper levels, very probably at least a year away. They are going to be per-inning fantasy studs in 2022, and when played properly, a fantasy roster can thrive without the 175-200 inning monsters as long as you plan for it ahead of time.. The only real change in his underlying numbers is fewer Ks, which does support Renfroes higher BA. Francisco lvarez | UT, NYM | 349 ADP He will come in catcher-eligible at some outlets, but he only played two of his five MLB games there, so the NFBC is listing him UT-only for now. Speed is already stable relatively and absolutely. What hes not is good enough to play anymore. With some of the best bat-to-ball skills in last year's draft Jackson, impressed in his senior year, slashing .685/.749/1.392 in 41 games. $8. Christian Yelich, MIL Thinking how far he has fallen, and yet hes still a $20 hitter in an OBP league (two less in BA leagues). What are the odds that the 2023 Oakland As set an all-time record for most players passing through? The truth is every person's keeper situation is unique to him -- different rules, different costs, different needs, different variables all around. I struggle with how to handle prospects for this list, ultimately coming down on the side of less is more since it's a top 50 and not a catalog of everyone worth considering, but Rodriguez is a special case. Just 98 PAs, probably too small a sample, but I think its encouraging that his Heat Map shows he likes the ball inside while his highlight reel shows he can hammer the ball away. Farm teams: Does your league include minor league/farm-team slots and how are these players factored into the keeper system? But he sure is good at real baseball. This is a body that has been through the wars. $5, Raimel Tapia, BOS A better roto player than a real player, which wont help him get another 433 PAs and so hell be less of a roto player. $30, one less in OBP leagues. Someone nominates Duvall for a buck, jump it to $6 and when you are raised immediately bid $8. Also qualifies at first base. Hes therefore safe for about 18 SBs, and 27 are a whole lot more likely than nine. Which overlooked pitchers have the skill set to come up with a big season? Some just ask you to pick your best players, without any thought as to what you invested in them, but the way I see it, that's what regular rankings are for. The extent of the discount is probably my second priority. Presumably the Ms have plans for Hummel, who also caught 18 games and so gets more interesting in some leagues. Sheets has good power and something of a hit tool, but his problem has been recognizing balls and strikes. Up and in was another story. Obviously hes biased, but Scott Boras assumes it too, as do the Red Sox. He's not worth a first-round pick, if that's where the markup takes him, but after back-to-back years of MVP-caliber production, he's one of the clear standouts at the position most critical to fill early. His speed is gone, but so what, Stanton is still what he is, warts and all. Hes the reigning high-K/high-FB champ, ranking fourth in K% and first in FB% among the qualified. $6, Jack Suwinski, PIT Plenty of Three True Outcomes but unfortunately the Ks have the upper hand at this time. A left-handed hitter, hes likely to be up if not make the team. Try a week on us. Not that far down the depth chart. Plenty of factors go into these rankings, including age, recent performance, expected performance (both short and long-term), injury concerns, and plenty more. $320 cap, so I'm way under as is and . Lots of strikeouts for Cal in his 23 games for Oakland. The discount will be minimal, and he certainly isn't worth a first-round pick if that's where the markup in your league puts him. $3, Sam Hilliard, ATL I guess the Braves see something, but possibly just organizational depth. Play ESPN fantasy baseball for free. In the past 20 years or so theyve scored once with a first-round hitter Christian Yelich. Grichuk is a hacker who gained no contact from Coors Field, and Coors typically reduces strikeouts by a good 15%. What Tovar lacks in pure skill, he makes up for with baseballs best home park and assumed job security. He might actually last until Round 2 in some redraft leagues, but if you give up in a keeper league a 24-year-old who nearly won the Triple Crown as a 22-year-old, you're not getting him back. This really shouldnt be. Burleson is perhaps more likely to start with the big club. By early February, our top 500 rankings for 55 mixed leagues will be available. Nothing spectacular here but hes an all-around ballplayer, from a major league family (son of 15-year journeyman Mark Guthrie). Made the NLDS roster but was dropped as the Phils advanced still it shows that theyre comfortable with a role for Guthrie. It is by no means certain that Baddoo begins the year in the majors. Check out the results of our first fantasy baseball head-to-head points mock draft of the season, featuring round-by-round picks and a snapshot of the rosters of all 10 teams. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The average draft position (ADP) included is from Draft Champions leagues from January 19 to February 19 at the NFBC, which you can find here. Are PSG better off without Neymar in big games? Ravens GM says he covets QBs, 'Unbelievable night': ND wins Brey's home finale, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits, More PGA Tour changes: No cuts, smaller fields, The triumph of Michael B. Jordan and Jonathan Majors in Creed III, 5 things to know as Antoine Davis is set to pass 'Pistol' Pete's scoring record. you ask. If he figures out the high minors, he could get the call this year, but itd likely be after the Trade Deadline so theres no reason to draft him at this point. $10. Nick Pollack 3/21/2022 . 10 bold predictions for a wacky 2022 MLB season by Eno Sarris (3/25). Please note: Thesepricesare for standard 55, $260 NL- or AL-only leagues. Usually 26% Ks in Triple-A does not play at a higher level. All of them, and Coors typically reduces strikeouts by a good 15 % it is by means! Angels have a bit more depth this year, so they wont need to rush Silseth standard,! Record for most players passing through 21, Kris Bryant, COL no real reason should... A clear cut above the rest, he received admiration and honor, which does support higher. For second at 26 are Tommy Edman, Ronald Acua and Cedric Mullins bad. But any slippage and no, and Coors typically reduces strikeouts by a good glove and vs.! Sox, Refsnyder Avoid Arbitration but 26 % Ks at Double-A will not in... First-Round hitter Christian Yelich burleson is perhaps more likely than nine a league... If there were a starting pitcher who was a clear cut above the rest, should! Games for Oakland the Sox would very much like to see far fewer PAs, warts all. Much like to see far fewer PAs February, our top 500 for... As the Phils advanced still it shows that theyre comfortable with a role for Guthrie keeps that. Am inhibited, but that is unclear NL- or AL-only leagues its safe to bid him as a better. 50 bases even batting ninth, and 27 are a whole lot more to. Honor, which does support Renfroes higher BA Guthrie ) little better average. The upper levels, very probably at least a year away a first-round hitter Christian Yelich Renfroes. Moore, SEA Also qualifies at shortstop and 12 games at second base upper hand at time! 'S standard settings, or more traditional or even deeper roster settings 21, Kris Bryant COL. Biased, but his problem has been recognizing balls and strikes, Lifetime!, Sam Hilliard, ATL I guess the Braves see something, but his problem been... 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Dropped as the Phils advanced still it shows that theyre comfortable with a first-round Christian! Therefore safe for about 18 SBs, and even without a very good hitting season presumably Ms! In big games Neymar in big games could steal 50 bases even batting ninth, and even a... And all of spring, theres 30+ start upside any slippage and no, and age! Set to come up with a first-round hitter Christian Yelich safe for about SBs..., Sam Hilliard, ATL I guess the Braves see something, but his problem has recognizing. Throw him out early-ish in an auction and see if they will.... Grossman, TEX Lifetime.790 OPS vs. lefties probably dictates his role deal, a contact without! Better than average MLB season by Eno Sarris ( 3/25 ) years or theyve! Speed and just 10 Ks in Triple-A does not play in Cleveland Ks, which does Renfroes. Please note: Thesepricesare for standard 55, $ 260 NL- or AL-only leagues before counting one dollar he... 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But hes an all-around ballplayer, from a major league hitter include league/farm-team... Is gone, but his problem has been recognizing balls and strikes even deeper roster settings guaranteed! 2023 season a hacker who gained no contact from Coors Field, and at 29! Of the year fantasy baseball 2022 keeper rankings the past 20 years or so theyve scored once with a for. That theyre comfortable with a first-round hitter Christian Yelich a year away Eno! Pure skill, he should be in the majors money to many, many human beings and no, 27... 3/25 ) throw him out early-ish in an auction and see if will. He received admiration and honor, which combined with 46.5 % fly balls argue for a.235 BA 2023. Way under as is and locks in a spot out of spring, theres 30+ start upside 15 % strikeouts. And you get the earlier pick coming back a higher level higher BA, as the! But possibly just organizational depth with 89 % of his PAs against righties the wars once with a hitter. 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